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in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts by Annie Duke (Paperback)","Description of Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts by Annie Duke (Paperback)","Thinking in Bets Book by Annie Duke","Thinking in Bets book by Annie Duke, English paperback, 288 pages from Portfolio, explores decision-making under uncertainty, objectivity, and bias. Enjoy fast delivery worldwide, with no duties or taxes and secure checkout.","500","0.00","","2026-10-31 08:21:39",{"id":128,"slug":129,"name":130},1193,"by-duke-annie-author-format-paperback","by               \n\t\t   DUKE ANNIE     \n       \t\t\t(Author) \n       \t             Format: Paperback",29.81,"€",[134],{"id":135,"product_id":115,"sku":115,"weight_grams":22,"length_cm":22,"width_cm":22,"height_cm":22,"stock_quantity":136,"is_active":137,"sort_order":138,"options":139,"price":131,"currency_code":7},"13140","100","1","0",[],[],[142],{"product_media_id":143,"product_id":115,"variant_id":22,"is_primary":137,"sort_order":138,"id":144,"entity":145,"entity_id":115,"disk":146,"path":147,"filename":148,"mime_type":149,"size_bytes":150,"width":151,"height":152,"alt_text":22,"thumbnails":22,"variants":153,"variants_signature":168,"uploaded_by":22,"created_at":169,"updated_at":169,"url":157},"76240","85265","product","s3","products\u002F990\u002F990593\u002F61vp2cs9kfl-sl1500-ee843c28.jpg","61VP2CS9kfL._SL1500_.jpg","image\u002Fjpeg","71512","992","1500",{"thumb":154,"cart":158,"tile":160,"card":162,"detail":164,"zoom":166},{"type":155,"srcset":156,"fallback_srcset":125,"src":157},"image\u002Fwebp","https:\u002F\u002Fmedia-dev.bazaar5.com\u002Fproducts\u002F990\u002F990593\u002F61vp2cs9kfl-sl1500-ee843c28__thumb@1x.webp 1x","https:\u002F\u002Fmedia-dev.bazaar5.com\u002Fproducts\u002F990\u002F990593\u002F61vp2cs9kfl-sl1500-ee843c28.jpg",{"type":155,"srcset":159,"fallback_srcset":125,"src":157},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia-dev.bazaar5.com\u002Fproducts\u002F990\u002F990593\u002F61vp2cs9kfl-sl1500-ee843c28__cart@1x.webp 1x",{"type":155,"srcset":161,"fallback_srcset":125,"src":157},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia-dev.bazaar5.com\u002Fproducts\u002F990\u002F990593\u002F61vp2cs9kfl-sl1500-ee843c28__tile@1x.webp 1x",{"type":155,"srcset":163,"fallback_srcset":125,"src":157},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia-dev.bazaar5.com\u002Fproducts\u002F990\u002F990593\u002F61vp2cs9kfl-sl1500-ee843c28__card@1x.webp 1x",{"type":155,"srcset":165,"fallback_srcset":125,"src":157},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia-dev.bazaar5.com\u002Fproducts\u002F990\u002F990593\u002F61vp2cs9kfl-sl1500-ee843c28__detail@1x.webp 1x",{"type":155,"srcset":167,"fallback_srcset":125,"src":157},"https:\u002F\u002Fmedia-dev.bazaar5.com\u002Fproducts\u002F990\u002F990593\u002F61vp2cs9kfl-sl1500-ee843c28__zoom@1x.webp 1x","0e0aa4a5d20c89cfd8bcd3b28b2237ef","2026-10-31 08:21:41",{"id":171,"slug":172,"name":173,"parents":174},295,"295-books","Books",[],{"min_days":97,"max_days":29,"eta_min_iso":176,"eta_max_iso":177,"ships_within_hours":178,"carrier_label":179,"ships_on_iso":180},"2026-11-16","2026-11-18",24,"Standard International","2026-11-02",[],[],[],[],{"average":186,"count":187,"histogram":188,"marketplace":193},4.3,5311,{"1":189,"2":189,"3":190,"4":191,"5":192},0.02,0.12,0.25,0.59,"amazon",4.5,"Customers find the book thought-provoking, particularly appreciating its insights on decision-making and how it forces readers to grapple with life's uncertainties. However, the content receives mixed reactions, with some finding it wonderful while others describe it as uninspiring. Moreover, the practicality and readability aspects are also mixed, with some finding it practical while others consider it basic, and some finding it interesting while others find it boring. Additionally, several customers consider it a waste of time and money.",[197,212,227,240,253,265],{"label":198,"summary":199,"sentiment":200,"mentions":201,"mentions_percentage":202,"snippets":203},"Thought-provoking","Customers find the book thought-provoking, providing insights on decision making and helping to navigate uncertainties. One customer notes that it teaches perspectives, techniques, and behavioral approaches to overcome common biases.","positive",29,83,[204,206,208,210],{"text":205},"Lots of wisdom in this book.",{"text":207},"Really loved the concept of thinking in bets. But too much paper has been wasted. Th3 entire concept could have been put in 1 blog, maybe 2-3 more....",{"text":209},"...The books biggest take way is how to think objectively when in decision making mode and remove biases especially towards result....",{"text":211},"...17. Hindsight makes you feel if things were destined to happen one way and take away from the uncertainity of decision making....",{"label":213,"summary":214,"sentiment":215,"mentions":216,"mentions_percentage":217,"snippets":218},"Content","Customers have mixed opinions about the content of the book, with some finding it wonderful and worth reading at least once in a life, while others describe it as uninspiring and criticize the poor quality of the pages.","mixed",46,70,[219,221,223,225],{"text":220},"Excellent book. Thanks to the author for writing this.",{"text":222},"...Information were very useful but we're clouded among the explanation. Must read",{"text":224},"It is one of the worst book ever i read on the subject. Better to read other books on the subject....",{"text":226},"Good book, bit difficult in middle, but worth it.",{"label":228,"summary":229,"sentiment":215,"mentions":97,"mentions_percentage":230,"snippets":231},"Practicality","Customers have mixed opinions about the book's practicality, with some finding it really very practical, while others find it basic.",64,[232,234,236,238],{"text":233},"...It’s a quiet but useful guide to improving how we reason about everyday decisions",{"text":235},"...based on heuristics but How to think in bets is missing with only a very few examples . Should have been more in depth !",{"text":237},"...Almost philosophical, but really very practical. Read it!",{"text":239},"...The book gives simple primer which can be applied in day to day life especially if you get excited about ideas and jump into execution or lost out...",{"label":241,"summary":242,"sentiment":215,"mentions":91,"mentions_percentage":243,"snippets":244},"Engaging","Customers have mixed opinions about the book's engagement, with some finding it interesting while others found it boring.",54,[245,247,249,251],{"text":246},"Thinking in Bets is an interesting and a well written book on decision making....",{"text":248},"Boring",{"text":250},"...Although books starts with a bit too much of drag, it gets interesting and to the point in the last two thirds....",{"text":252},"...Lot of unnecessary content just to fill pages. It was so boring.",{"label":254,"summary":255,"sentiment":215,"mentions":67,"mentions_percentage":256,"snippets":257},"Readability","Customers have mixed opinions about the book's readability.",33,[258,260,262,263],{"text":259},"Only read this if you are a beginner and haven't read the countless other (and better) books, the author references in her writing.",{"text":261},"...of paperback is not good compared to the price of more than 1K, but its readable.",{"text":250},{"text":264},"...For ones who don't know to play poker (like me), the book can be a drag sometimes....",{"label":266,"summary":267,"sentiment":268,"mentions":49,"mentions_percentage":269,"snippets":270},"Waste","Customers find the book to be a waste of time and money.","negative",17,[271,273,275,277],{"text":272},"...Book is even not worth one star but giving one star only because i like once sentence in the book...we normally link outcome with decision quality...",{"text":274},"...But definitely not worth a full book.",{"text":276},"Super generic and a complete waste of time",{"text":278},"waste of time and money",[280,281,282,283],"https:\u002F\u002Fm.media-amazon.com\u002Fimages\u002FI\u002F7162BbAz10L._AC_UC154,154_CACC,154,154_QL85_.jpg?aicid=community-reviews","https:\u002F\u002Fm.media-amazon.com\u002Fimages\u002FI\u002F71lqHv-3KpL._AC_UC154,154_CACC,154,154_QL85_.jpg?aicid=community-reviews","https:\u002F\u002Fm.media-amazon.com\u002Fimages\u002FI\u002F617ffbVuNPL._AC_UC154,154_CACC,154,154_QL85_.jpg?aicid=community-reviews","https:\u002F\u002Fm.media-amazon.com\u002Fimages\u002FI\u002F61Ajm96OheL._AC_UC154,154_CACC,154,154_QL85_.jpg?aicid=community-reviews",{"faqs":285,"tldr":304,"og_fields":305,"clean_title":119,"seo_meta_data":309,"secondary_description":338,"hero_image_alt":307,"og_image_alt":306,"og_title":121,"og_description":308,"seo_meta_title":121,"seo_meta_description":122,"_meta":339},[286,289,292,295,298,301],{"answer":287,"question":288},"Many readers say yes: the big value is learning to think more objectively under uncertainty and notice biases. Buyers often describe the book as thought-provoking rather than purely motivational.","Does the book change how you make decisions?",{"answer":290,"question":291},"Buyers are split on practicality. Some call it a quiet but useful guide for everyday reasoning, while others feel the examples stay basic and want more depth before calling it highly actionable.","Is the advice practical for everyday life?",{"answer":293,"question":294},"Most reviewers find the pacing uneven. Several mention a slow opening, while others say the book becomes more interesting and sharper in the later sections.","Is the writing engaging from the start?",{"answer":296,"question":297},"Several readers say newcomers may benefit more. Reviews note that the book works well as a primer, while more widely read readers sometimes find the ideas familiar.","Will beginners get more from this book?",{"answer":299,"question":300},"Poker comes up because many reviews say the book explains decision-making through betting and uncertain outcomes. That analogy is central to how the author separates process quality from result quality.","Why do readers keep mentioning poker?",{"answer":302,"question":303},"English paperback format keeps it straightforward: 288 pages published by Portfolio. For edition checking, ISBN-13 is 979-8217047666 and the listed publication date is 9 December 2024.","What format and length does it come in?","Read Annie Duke’s paperback to explore decision-making under uncertainty through a bet-based mindset. Buyers often find the book thought-provoking for its take on objectivity and bias, while opinions on depth, practicality, and pacing are more mixed. The English edition runs 288 pages.",{"og_title":121,"og_image_alt":306,"hero_image_alt":307,"og_description":308},"Thinking in Bets paperback book cover by Annie Duke","Front cover of Thinking in Bets English paperback book","Thinking in Bets book by Annie Duke is an English paperback on decision making under uncertainty, objective thinking, and bias awareness.",{"seo_meta_title":121,"search_keywords":310,"primary_keywords":322,"canonical_keywords":327,"secondary_keywords":329,"seo_meta_description":122},[311,312,313,314,315,316,317,318,319,320,321],"thinking in bets annie duke paperback","thinking in bets book english paperback","thinking in bets book by annie duke","decision making under uncertainty book","book on bias and objective thinking","poker analogy decision making book","analysis and strategy paperback book","thought provoking decision making book","thinking in bets 288 pages","portfolio thinking in bets","thinking in bets isbn 9798217047666",[323,324,325,314,326],"Thinking in Bets book","Annie Duke paperback","decision making book","English paperback book",[323,328,325],"Annie Duke book",[330,331,332,333,334,335,336,337],"objective thinking book","bias and reasoning book","analysis and strategy book","poker mindset book","Portfolio paperback","288 page English book","book on uncertainty","thought-provoking psychology book","\u003Ch2>Who it's for\u003C\u002Fh2>\u003Cp>Choose this book if you want a decision-making read that deals directly with uncertainty. Reviews repeatedly say the strongest takeaway is learning to think more objectively, question biases, and separate a good process from a lucky result.\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>Newer readers may get the most from it. Some reviewers describe the book as a useful primer, while others say the ideas can feel basic if you have already read widely in psychology or decision theory.\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Ch2>When you'd use it\u003C\u002Fh2>\u003Cp>Reach for this paperback when work, money, or personal choices feel unclear. Buyers say the book pushes readers to grapple with life’s uncertainties instead of waiting for complete information before deciding.\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>Readers who move quickly from ideas to action often mention the value of slowing down and testing assumptions. That focus on beliefs, outcomes, and bias is the practical use case that comes up most often in feedback.\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Ch2>What makes it different\u003C\u002Fh2>\u003Cp>Expect a betting lens rather than a rigid rulebook. Multiple reviews point to poker as the central analogy, using uncertain outcomes to explain why a sound decision can still lead to a poor result.\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>That framing is what many readers find thought-provoking. Rather than promising certainty, the book centers on probability, objectivity, and making choices when not all the facts are available.\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Ch2>What buyers say\u003C\u002Fh2>\u003Cp>Know that reactions are strongest on the ideas and more divided on the reading experience. Customers widely praise the perspective on decision-making, but opinions split on depth, practicality, and how consistently engaging the book feels.\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cul>\u003Cli>Many readers call the core concept insightful and useful.\u003C\u002Fli>\u003Cli>Some say the examples make everyday reasoning clearer.\u003C\u002Fli>\u003Cli>Others feel the material could have been tighter or more in-depth.\u003C\u002Fli>\u003Cli>A few mention a slow start before the later sections become more to the point.\u003C\u002Fli>\u003C\u002Ful>\u003Ch2>Good to know\u003C\u002Fh2>\u003Cp>Pick the English paperback if you want a full-length read rather than a short summary. The book runs 288 pages and is published by Portfolio.\u003C\u002Fp>\u003Cp>Publication date is 9 December 2024. 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Very good psychology book","Prashant","2026-09-09 00:00:00",[],{"id":864,"rating":28,"title":865,"body":866,"author_name":867,"author_country":853,"helpful_count":20,"verified_purchase":9,"has_media":413,"source":193,"created_at":868,"media":869},"69790","Good book that teaches...","A good book that teaches everything has a probability attached to it. One must use both premortem & back casting to do predictions on the future. Comparing of multiple futuristic probabilities are compared to an analogy of a tree with trunk as pass & branches as outcomes. Overall it helps to shift thinking a little better","RG","2026-07-29 00:00:00",[],{"id":871,"rating":28,"title":872,"body":873,"author_name":874,"author_country":853,"helpful_count":20,"verified_purchase":9,"has_media":413,"source":193,"created_at":875,"media":876},"69794","A good book on decision making with many practical decision making tools","Recommend for the folks who need to take decisions on a daily basis. Although books starts with a bit too much of drag, it gets interesting and to the point in the last two thirds.Some of the references were too US centric and makes it hard for other readers to relate too.","aalok nahata","2022-01-23 00:00:00",[],{"id":878,"rating":19,"title":879,"body":880,"author_name":881,"author_country":853,"helpful_count":20,"verified_purchase":9,"has_media":413,"source":193,"created_at":882,"media":883},"69796","Decision making is a bet about the future, which is based on the beliefs that we have","Thinking in Bets is an interesting and a well written book on decision making. The author is a poker players and had brought to light her learnings as a poker player on decision making. As she says, while playing poker you make a number of decisions and get to know the results every few minutes.  The fundamental premise that the author makes are:1. Future is uncertain.2. Taking decisions is about making bets about the future. Thinking in terms of bets is to recognise that there is uncertainity and we are making bet about a particular outcome.3. As the author says, bets reflect choice, probability, decision, risk and belief4.  The outcome of decisions is a function of both skills and luck. We like to attribute success to skills and failure to luck. Though, it may not reflect the right balance between skills and luck.  Outcome does not always mean that it is related to quality of decision making or to chance5. Quality of decision improved, if we are more objective about our beliefs (using experience and information)6. We are designed to believe that we read or see, even though the information may be incorrect. Whatever we experince, we believe it to be true and rarely question it.7.  Once we believe something, then we tend to use new information to re-inforce our beliefs. Internet is a great example, where getting information from the same sources solidifies our beliefs.8. Acknowledging that decisions are bets based on our beliefs, getting comfortable with uncertainity and re-defining right or wrong is integral to good decision making.9. Our brains are designed to see positive self image of ourselves. It is also built to see us in competition with our peers.10. Unaided open mindedness is tough to find11. Some of the ways around are asking the question \"why this may not be true instead of why this is true\", believing that we do not know everything but rely on our beliefs.  Thinking in bets or making bets is a good way of challenging our beliefs12. If you engage with somebody who you dis-agree with, first listen to the person you dis-agree with, establish areas where we have agreement and then engage in other areas, including callibrating our belief.13. Another way around is to think about the future. What the future would be look like and imagining that we are in the future, helps us get a better perspective on the decision that we are going to make.14. One important thing is to get away from instinctive\u002F emotional present and to really imagine is in the future and this way we can be more objective in our decision making.15. Similarly thinking about the future and really to take a decision now like stop loss rather then us being subject to future emotional state.16. Overconfidence can be really bad for decision making17. Hindsight makes you feel if things were destined to happen one way and take away from the uncertainity of decision making.It is in a way similar to what Taleb or Kahnemann have said in their books. A great book to read and I give it my highest recommendation.","Unknown","2021-06-13 00:00:00",[],{"id":885,"rating":19,"title":886,"body":887,"author_name":888,"author_country":853,"helpful_count":20,"verified_purchase":9,"has_media":413,"source":193,"created_at":889,"media":890},"69791","Learning from poker how to bring objectivity to decision making","Thinking in Bets answers question atleast for me why poker analogies are hot favourite among entrepreneurs. The books biggest take way is how to think objectively when in decision making mode and remove biases especially towards result. The book gives simple primer which can be applied in day to day life especially if you get excited about ideas and jump into execution or lost out hand to luckNotes from bookThinking in Bets - notes- We as humans remember decisions through It results - this phenomenon is called resulting. Over the years our brain has a build these systems for survival eg rustling of leaves in bushes in past meant animal is around and being aware\u002Fgoing away from the place meant safety\u002Fsurvival.- Seeking certainty over the years have kept us alive but it doesn’t drive result in uncertain world- Author talks about brain having 2 systems - reflexive mind and deliberative mind- Reflexive mind - seems to do things rapidly and automatically, with or without conscious awareness. Every day decision making is dependent on reflexive mind- Deliberative mind - deliberates , chews over the facts- Life decisions are not chess decisions with computational possibilities but they involve uncertainties, risk, occasional deception more similar to poker- It’s okay to be unsure and accepting this will make you comfortable to seek information\u002Fvariable beyond the usual. Being unsure is not a wrong answer to question- Acknowledging uncertainties is first step but incorporating uncertainty in the way we think bring more open mindedness eg changing our answer From 58% to 40%  May see small shift while changing from being complete right to wrong. It helps us not treat information which disagrees with us as threat- To become more objective towards outcome one needs to change habits of rewarding outcome to habit of maybe identifying your mistakes especially when you won the hand and feed it back to your learning. This takes lot more practise and is the hardest part- We can improve our decision making by being in group but it needs to be the right group, the group objective has to be to help you seek truth and require you to commit to objectivity instead of moaning bad luck, a Business which can build a company board with group members who are experienced in the direction of game being played and who challenge each other biases. More importantly author talks about its okay to disagree as dissent is equally important to have voice in potential outcome bias.- The author gives CUDOS framework for anyone looking to establish a group with goal to get objective towards outcome- Communism - You should put out all information irrespective of it being towards decision you are driving , incremental information can help get fair dissent and perspective- Universalism - treating all information at par irrespective of source , as some time source of decision can play in our bias to treat information equally- Disinterestedness - Its about avoiding bias, hint of future\u002Foutcome can again bring bias in our analysis . Eg if each decision of history can be evaluated without knowing the result, this will help us to improve our learning and again looking at things more objectively- Organized Skepticism - Having Devil’s advocate thinking towards decision which again goes back to principles of thinking in bets, its important for us to have people who bring those skepticism to decision making as it gives another critical view point and reinforce CUDOS framework-- 10-10-10 rule is a great way for us to do time travel thinking what will be impact of decision over next 10 mins, 10 days and 10 years- 2 best methods to use while doing business planning is back casting and premortem, back casting is something which amazon teams does for pitching a project by draft a positive PR on outcome and what lead to it’s success and premortem is opposite where teams are encouraged to do negative PR and predict reasons of failureOverall book sounds very meditative read as it just simplifies the way humans should remove emotion bias from decision making and stop living in past or future","Siddharth Puri","2020-08-10 00:00:00",[],{"page":14,"per_page":49,"total":61,"total_pages":24},{"product_id":596,"top_question":22,"questions":893,"faqs":894},[],[895,899,902,905,908,911],{"id":896,"question":288,"answer":287,"sort_order":897,"is_active":9,"source":898},"ai-1",1002,"ai",{"id":900,"question":291,"answer":290,"sort_order":901,"is_active":9,"source":898},"ai-2",1003,{"id":903,"question":294,"answer":293,"sort_order":904,"is_active":9,"source":898},"ai-3",1004,{"id":906,"question":297,"answer":296,"sort_order":907,"is_active":9,"source":898},"ai-4",1005,{"id":909,"question":300,"answer":299,"sort_order":910,"is_active":9,"source":898},"ai-5",1006,{"id":912,"question":303,"answer":302,"sort_order":913,"is_active":9,"source":898},"ai-6",1007]